Current:Home > FinanceScientists closely watching these 3 disastrous climate change scenarios-DB Wealth Institute B2 Reviews & Ratings
Scientists closely watching these 3 disastrous climate change scenarios
lotradecoin promotions View Date:2025-01-12 14:12:13
A host of potential climate change catastrophes worry scientists, but some scenarios are so dire that experts are constantly monitoring how close we are to disaster.
This week brought some good climate news about one those scenarios in Antarctica: The so-called "Doomsday glacier" may be more stable than previously thought, according to new research published Wednesday.
The Thwaites Glacier on the vast West Antarctica Ice Sheet is commonly called the "Doomsday Glacier" because of its potential to significantly raise sea levels, inundating low-lying coastal communities and displacing millions of people.
Meanwhile, scientists keep tracking several other potential large-scale climate troublemakers. Scenarios including the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and the Greenland ice sheet have the potential to radically reshape life on Earth in the coming years, decades or centuries.
Here's the latest:
'Doomsday glacier': Worst-case scenario is unlikely, for now
The Thwaites Glacier has been studied for years as an indicator of human-caused climate change.
In one nightmare scenario, the glacier's melt fuels a 50-foot rise in sea level. The Florida Peninsula would be submerged, save for a strip of interior high ground spanning from Gainesville to north of Lake Okeechobee, with the state's coastal cities underwater.
That scenario now looks unlikely — for now, the new study says.
"We know this extreme projection is unlikely over the course of the 21st century," said study lead author Mathieu Morlighem, a Dartmouth University professor of earth sciences, in a statement.
The good news comes with plenty of caveats. Authors stress that the accelerating loss of ice from Greenland and Antarctica is nonetheless dire.
"Unfortunately, Thwaites Glacier is still going to retreat and with it most of the West Antarctic ice sheet, but not as rapidly as one scenario suggested," Morlighem told USA TODAY in an e-mail. He added that even though a rapid collapse was a "low likelihood" scenario in the latest report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, "we show is that it is even less likely than we thought."
Sea level is probably going to rise by roughly 2-3 feet by the end of the century and continue to rise after, as the ice sheets continue to melt, he told USA TODAY.
Greenland's ice sheet: A mix of good and bad news
There's been mixed news about a similarly troubling ice sheet in Greenland.
Overall, the ice sheet covers more than 656,000 square miles, and if it were to fully melt, the global sea level would rise about 20 feet, according to the National Snow and Ice Date Center.
News continues to be worrisome in Greenland, which is losing about 270 billion tons of ice per year, adding to sea level rise, NASA said. A study earlier this year found that the ice sheet in Greenland is melting faster than researchers had thought.
But a study last year found that the sheet may be more resistant to climate change than once thought.
Basically, the study found that "the worst-case scenario of ice sheet collapse and consequent sea-level rise can be avoided – and even partly reversed – if we manage to reduce the global temperatures projected for after 2100," previously said Bryn Hubbard, a professor of glaciology at Aberystwyth University in Wales.
AMOC collapse: Scientists still studying feared 'Day After Tomorrow' ocean current
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) – a large system of ocean currents that carry warm water from the tropics into the North Atlantic – could collapse by the middle of the century, or possibly any time from 2025 onward, because of human-caused climate change, a study published last year suggests.
The AMOC gained international attention in 2004 with the release of the scientifically inaccurate disaster movie "The Day After Tomorrow," which used such an ocean current shutdown as the premise of the film.
An AMOC collapse in real life could trigger rapid weather and climate changes in the U.S., Europe and elsewhere. If it were to happen, it could bring about an ice age in Europe and sea-level rise in cities such as Boston and New York, as well as more potent storms and hurricanes along the East Coast.
Another study suggests the collapse could occur by 2050, but the research is still preliminary. Earlier this year, a published study found a collapse of the current was coming at some point, but didn't offer clues as to when it could occur.
veryGood! (32983)
Related
- Ryan Reynolds on his 'complicated' relationship with his dad, how it's changed him
- Trevor Noah returns to host 2024 Grammy Awards for 4th year in a row
- Andre Braugher died of lung cancer, publicist says
- Amazon, Target and more will stop selling water beads marketed to kids due to rising safety concerns
- Bristol Palin Shares 15-Year-Old Son Tripp Has Moved Back to Alaska
- 'Thanks for the memories': E3 convention canceled after 25 years of gaming
- You'll Royally Obsess Over These 18 Gifts for Fans of The Crown
- SAG-AFTRA to honor Barbra Streisand for life achievement at Screen Actors Guild Awards
- Rob Schneider seeks forgiveness from daughter Elle King after 'fat camp' claims
- Camila Alves McConaughey’s Holiday Gift Ideas Will Make You the Best Gift Giver in Your Family
Ranking
- What to stream: Post Malone goes country, Sydney Sweeney plays a nun and Madden 25 hits the field
- Taylor Lautner reflects on 'Twilight' rivalry with Robert Pattinson: 'It was tough'
- COP28 climate summit OK's controversial pact that gathering's leader calls historic
- These 18 Trendy Gifts Will Cement Your Status As The Cool Sibling Once & For All
- Clint Eastwood's Son Scott Shares How Family Is Doing After Death of Christina Sandera
- Emma Stone's Cute Moment With Ex Andrew Garfield Will Have Your Spidey Senses Tingling
- Michigan court rejects challenges to Trump’s spot on 2024 primary ballot
- Central Indiana man gets 16 years for trying to provide guns to Islamic State group
Recommendation
-
'RuPaul's Drag Race Global All Stars': Premiere date, cast, where to watch and stream
-
Stock market today: Asian markets churn upward after the Dow ticks to another record high
-
Coca-Cola recalls 2,000 Diet Coke, Sprite, Fanta Orange soda packs
-
Vanderpump Villa: Meet the Staff of Lisa Vanderpump's New Reality Show
-
New York county signs controversial mask ban meant to hide people's identities in public
-
Emma Stone's Cute Moment With Ex Andrew Garfield Will Have Your Spidey Senses Tingling
-
You can watch 'A Charlie Brown Christmas' for free this weekend. Here's how to stream it.
-
Wisconsin corn mill agrees to pay $1.8 million in penalties after fatal 2017 explosion